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The impact of trade tariffs on Singapore property prices

Posted by vincentlowx on April 9, 2025
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The impact of trade tariffs on Singapore property prices can be analyzed, using historical trends during periods of economic uncertainty, because during bad times people tend to use fear to make decision but history always taught us some lessons:

1. Historical Context: During the 2017 trade tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, Singapore’s property market experienced a notable increase in prices. Investors often seek safe havens in tangible assets like real estate during economic uncertainty, leading to higher demand and, consequently, rising property prices.

2. Interest Rates and Economic Pressure: Trade wars typically exert pressure on economies, prompting central banks to adjust interest rates. In Singapore, lower interest rates may encourage borrowing and investing in property as financing becomes more affordable. This can lead to increased purchasing activity in the real estate market.

3. Investment Behavior: As you mentioned, in periods of market instability, investors may choose to move assets from the stock market to real estate to secure their wealth. Given Singapore’s reputation as a stable and attractive market, property becomes a preferred option.

4. Market Sentiment: In Singapore, there is generally less speculative buying compared to other markets, partly due to regulations like the Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) that restrict the amount borrowers can take on. This means that even in uncertain times, property buyers tend to be more cautious and may focus on long-term investments rather than speculative ones.

5. *Regulatory Environment*: The requirement of a substantial down payment (e.g., 25%) also acts as a buffer against sudden market fluctuations. This reduces the likelihood of panic selling and helps stabilize property prices in the face of external economic pressures like trade wars.

Final words:
Another thing to consider is the possible u turn by Donald Trump as he is known to be very fickle. That might be a possible rebound in confidence in the market if you are the developer will you be selling at the current low new launch pricing?

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